SCIENTER
The leaderboards

Hyperliquid trader

Demo data

0x8e3a4A8E8F3a4c218C3a47688D3A48Fb923A50Da

First observed
2026-06-03
Closed observations
93
Volume, window
$4.16M
Account value
$32.8K
The Judgment
19/ 100
Likely lucky

Profitable, but not distinguishable from the luckiest of a population this size. That is not an accusation; it is the arithmetic of ranking tens of thousands of traders.

  • deflated Sharpe 0.000 below the 0.95 bar

An absolute scale, not a rank. Half the weight is the deflated Sharpe, which almost nobody clears — so scores above roughly 55 require passing the 0.95 bar rather than merely doing well. The arithmetic is in The Math below.

The Chart
This account +15.3%BTC held flat +2.8%
start

Logarithmic axis: equal ratios occupy equal height, so a doubling and a halving are the same distance. On a linear axis the recovery from a drawdown always looks smaller than the drawdown.

The MathOpen

Every figure below is computed from public Hyperliquid history. Nothing is adjusted by hand, and anything that could not be computed shows an em-dash rather than a substitute.

Skill against luck

Deflated Sharpe ratio
Bailey & López de Prado (2014). The probability this record beats the expected best of 44,013 zero-skill trials — because ranking 44,013 traders and keeping the top is running 44,013 trials. Passes at 0.95.
0.000
Probabilistic Sharpe ratio
The same test against a zero benchmark — i.e. before any correction for how many candidates were ranked. It is always the friendlier number, which is why leaderboards report its cousin and stop there.
0.725
Expected maximum Sharpe of the population
The bar luck clears. Per observation, across the whole scanned population.
0.663
Sharpe, per observation
The unit the tests above use. Annualising it and then testing against an observation count is the most common way this arithmetic is misreported.
0.061
Sharpe, annualised
Shown for familiarity only. No decision on this page is made on it.
2.35
Survives false-discovery control
Benjamini–Hochberg at 5% across everyone judged in this run. Answers a different question from the deflated Sharpe: of all the results we called significant, how many should we expect to be false?
No

Sample

Closed observations
The floor for a score is 30.
93
Days observed
90.0
Skew
Feeds the standard error above. A left-skewed record is punished, because rare large losses are what the Sharpe ratio hides.
0.451
Kurtosis
Full, not excess: 3.0 is normal. Fat tails widen the error bar and lower both probabilities above.
2.98

Risk carried

Maximum drawdown
Worst peak-to-trough decline of the equity curve above.
26.2%
Time under water
Share of observations spent below the previous high-water mark. A 20% drawdown recovered in a week and a 20% drawdown held for nine months are the same number and completely different propositions.
85%
Longest underwater run
61
Largest position, share of equity
How much one trade could hurt them.
8%
Position size dispersion
Coefficient of variation across trade sizes. A disciplined book has a modest maximum and a low dispersion; a martingale has a small median and a large maximum, which the median alone hides.
0.68

Alpha or beta

Correlation with BTC
At 0.80 and above, with no surviving deflated skill, the verdict is Beta only — holding spot would have done the same work.
0.18
Correlation with ETH
0.22
Sharpe in trending regimes
Observations where BTC's absolute move was at or above its own median.
0.131
Sharpe in ranging regimes
The other half. A record that only works in one regime is a bet on that regime continuing.
-0.026
Positive observations
53%
Largest winner, share of all gains
The one-hit-wonder check. A record whose entire edge is a single fill is not a strategy.
7%

How the score was assembled

A published weighted sum. Each component is scaled to 0–1, multiplied by its weight, and the total mapped onto 1–100. A component that could not be computed is dropped and the remaining weights are renormalised — never filled with a flattering default.

Deflated Sharpe
×50%0.000= 0.0
Drawdown, inverted
×15%0.477= 7.1
Time above high-water mark
×15%0.151= 2.2
Independence from BTC
×10%0.815= 8.1
Consistency above a coin flip
×10%0.054= 0.5
The Trades93 most recent, closed
ClosedMarketSideEntryExitSizeReturnP&L
2026-08-31 18:01ZHYPEshort2,912.433,584.55$10.1K-18.68%-$1.9K
2026-08-30 18:48ZHYPElong1,017.991,182.70$13.6K+18.55%$2.5K
2026-08-29 19:34ZLINKshort1,936.682,033.40$12.9K-3.25%-$421
2026-08-28 20:21ZSOLlong446.518492.853$9.6K+6.17%$593
2026-08-27 21:07ZARBlong7,628.318,850.80$14.8K+10.16%$1.5K
2026-08-26 21:53ZHYPEshort17.52220.094$4.6K-11.35%-$520
2026-08-25 22:40ZETHlong25.18319.320$4.9K-18.54%-$906
2026-08-24 23:26ZARBlong93.65291.620$10.6K-1.78%-$188
2026-08-24 00:13ZDOGElong84,066.8789,254.94$11.2K+5.54%$619
2026-08-23 00:59ZHYPEshort17,489.5919,173.60$2.2K-10.81%-$239
2026-08-22 01:46ZSUIshort12,197.3514,699.28$16.4K-13.12%-$2.1K
2026-08-21 02:32ZTIAlong3,836.533,835.56$15.0K-0.03%-$5
2026-08-20 03:19ZSOLshort5,586.164,210.24$15.2K+25.64%$3.9K
2026-08-19 04:05ZSUIlong67.53953.093$11.6K-14.04%-$1.6K
2026-08-18 04:52ZLINKshort41,558.4046,106.86$14.5K-6.65%-$966
2026-08-17 05:38ZBTClong1,090.821,181.00$10.4K+6.15%$637
2026-08-16 06:24ZBTClong11,495.1512,089.17$10.3K+4.45%$460
2026-08-15 07:11ZDOGElong4,320.234,612.59$15.3K+7.14%$1.1K
2026-08-14 07:57ZLINKshort19.48623.781$13.2K-13.58%-$1.8K
2026-08-13 08:44ZLINKlong139,223.13139,614.72$5.2K+0.36%$18
2026-08-12 09:30ZSUIlong980.176902.853$13.2K-6.21%-$820
2026-08-11 10:17ZETHshort473.466482.662$15.1K-2.42%-$364
2026-08-10 11:03ZSOLlong20,194.3617,622.32$4.3K-12.63%-$548
2026-08-09 11:50ZSOLlong13,039.9111,406.33$11.2K-9.20%-$1.0K
2026-08-08 12:36ZDOGEshort4,358.002,493.46$12.3K+32.66%$4.0K
2026-08-07 13:23ZETHshort22,989.9720,908.81$12.2K+5.36%$655
2026-08-06 14:09ZWIFshort7,052.157,580.23$8.1K-5.96%-$484
2026-08-05 14:55ZETHshort10,504.637,291.77$4.2K+17.83%$745
2026-08-04 15:42ZBTClong196.655162.715$6.9K-11.67%-$802
2026-08-03 16:28ZBTClong4,966.114,048.29$10.9K-12.18%-$1.3K
2026-08-02 17:15ZSUIlong44,442.7949,245.56$9.2K+6.35%$582
2026-08-01 18:01ZHYPElong1,044.861,323.71$13.1K+18.92%$2.5K
2026-07-31 18:48ZARBshort570.294387.453$16.3K+39.96%$6.5K
2026-07-30 19:34ZWIFlong80.89677.381$2.9K-2.64%-$78
2026-07-29 20:21ZETHshort5,805.064,960.15$15.0K+10.59%$1.6K
2026-07-28 21:07ZHYPElong403.271412.153$14.1K+1.44%$203
2026-07-27 21:53ZLINKlong3,852.943,091.60$12.7K-13.16%-$1.7K
2026-07-26 22:40ZETHlong48,305.6538,289.96$14.9K-14.40%-$2.2K
2026-07-25 23:26ZWIFshort97,321.5995,968.53$14.1K+0.99%$140
2026-07-25 00:13ZHYPElong1,175.74743.756$3.2K-23.05%-$734
2026-07-24 00:59ZSUIshort145.950149.955$5.2K-2.16%-$112
2026-07-23 01:46ZARBlong151.680176.053$11.5K+10.73%$1.2K
2026-07-22 02:32ZARBshort323.267235.455$14.7K+17.58%$2.6K
2026-07-21 03:19ZSUIlong8,308.228,352.15$9.6K+0.69%$66
2026-07-20 04:05ZDOGElong67,385.3072,954.23$13.9K+5.35%$743
2026-07-19 04:52ZLINKlong465.842432.796$9.7K-6.56%-$634
2026-07-18 05:38ZWIFlong63.04539.566$4.2K-26.09%-$1.1K
2026-07-17 06:24ZWIFlong10,360.088,229.03$5.5K-18.68%-$1.0K
2026-07-16 07:11ZWIFlong995.067920.110$11.1K-7.01%-$781
2026-07-15 07:57ZSOLlong151,295.40162,560.09$4.1K+5.17%$213
2026-07-14 08:44ZETHlong51.84450.235$14.2K-3.41%-$483
2026-07-13 09:30ZSUIshort114,328.37109,527.34$11.9K+5.13%$608
2026-07-12 10:17ZTIAlong248.422195.085$7.4K-20.87%-$1.5K
2026-07-11 11:03ZDOGElong36.55440.934$7.4K+8.35%$620
2026-07-10 11:50ZBTCshort863.7521,146.33$9.7K-21.41%-$2.1K
2026-07-09 12:36ZETHshort361.116368.168$8.0K-2.15%-$173
2026-07-08 13:23ZDOGElong21.11222.489$9.1K+7.71%$705
2026-07-07 14:09ZDOGEshort480.144458.557$11.5K+5.93%$681
2026-07-06 14:55ZSUIshort12,562.5413,977.26$8.0K-11.41%-$913
2026-07-05 15:42ZBTClong2,778.842,690.86$3.3K-2.51%-$84
2026-07-04 16:28ZWIFlong1,667.741,517.84$9.0K-11.06%-$993
2026-07-03 17:15ZARBshort72,709.0471,864.66$5.8K+1.22%$71
2026-07-02 18:01ZARBlong5,713.035,928.28$11.1K+3.57%$395
2026-07-01 18:48ZETHshort208.508102.878$6.3K+30.65%$1.9K
2026-06-30 19:34ZSUIlong17.59018.224$13.1K+3.65%$479
2026-06-29 20:21ZBTClong88,145.4968,172.28$2.9K-17.79%-$520
2026-06-28 21:07ZTIAshort38,169.2028,632.68$9.3K+29.98%$2.8K
2026-06-27 21:53ZBTClong1,948.022,984.54$6.0K+31.51%$1.9K
2026-06-26 22:40ZTIAshort2,183.952,365.47$4.1K-7.51%-$307
2026-06-25 23:26ZDOGEshort1,925.141,635.55$11.4K+11.57%$1.3K
2026-06-25 00:13ZBTClong9,732.8810,103.36$6.6K+3.23%$213
2026-06-24 00:59ZSUIlong66,008.2668,060.57$16.1K+3.16%$509
2026-06-23 01:46ZARBlong72,229.3576,724.81$14.0K+6.21%$870
2026-06-22 02:32ZDOGElong179.562138.697$5.0K-16.32%-$823
2026-06-21 03:19ZWIFshort74,538.9277,414.54$5.4K-2.27%-$123
2026-06-20 04:05ZWIFlong34.49042.529$7.0K+18.77%$1.3K
2026-06-19 04:52ZWIFlong75,521.6260,181.90$6.0K-14.04%-$846
2026-06-18 05:38ZSOLlong29.04930.953$4.0K+4.52%$181
2026-06-17 06:24ZWIFlong1,696.371,474.52$3.4K-8.24%-$279
2026-06-16 07:11ZSUIlong4,650.664,648.83$2.3K-0.03%-$1
2026-06-15 07:57ZLINKlong449.766538.847$14.5K+12.76%$1.9K
2026-06-14 08:44ZWIFshort557.775552.466$2.9K+0.68%$20
2026-06-13 09:30ZHYPElong59,097.7152,504.98$9.5K-8.64%-$821
2026-06-12 10:17ZWIFlong114,589.49129,258.58$3.4K+15.46%$521
2026-06-11 11:03ZWIFlong10,565.5711,105.10$11.0K+4.79%$526
2026-06-10 11:50ZLINKshort5,598.274,196.92$4.4K+21.94%$967
2026-06-09 12:36ZHYPEshort203.052154.649$7.1K+14.53%$1.0K
2026-06-08 13:23ZSUIshort4,033.442,753.55$6.3K+19.20%$1.2K
2026-06-07 14:09ZTIAlong5,561.664,463.45$9.3K-13.79%-$1.3K
2026-06-06 14:55ZSUIlong1,043.581,123.92$3.7K+5.66%$211
2026-06-05 15:42ZHYPEshort1,630.962,170.38$11.6K-19.48%-$2.3K
2026-06-04 16:28ZDOGElong86.482104.513$10.7K+12.39%$1.3K
2026-06-03 17:15ZARBlong1,029.151,085.47$11.2K+5.06%$568
Execution

Scienter does not hold funds and does not trade for you. A routed order is placed with your own key, on your own approval, after a revalidation check at the moment you tap — if the position has closed, flipped, or been de-risked since the card was written, the tap is refused rather than filled.

Trade on HyperliquidStandard Hyperliquid fees. Scienter earns nothing on this link.
Route through Scienter with approvalNo routing fee. Nothing on unrouted reading.

This deployment has no execution bot configured, so the link opens setup rather than an order.

Judged against 44,013 scanned traders. Every figure is derived from public Hyperliquid history and is reproducible from it — the method is published in full, including the record of our own engine losing money.