SCIENTER
The leaderboards

Hyperliquid trader

Demo data

0x68523D2567523B92665239Ff6552386C645236d9

First observed
2026-06-03
Closed observations
85
Volume, window
$1.54M
Account value
$40.2K
The Judgment
9/ 100
Losing money

Cumulative return over the measured window is negative. Skill statistics are reported below for completeness, not as mitigation.

  • cumulative return -30.03% over the measured window

An absolute scale, not a rank. Half the weight is the deflated Sharpe, which almost nobody clears — so scores above roughly 55 require passing the 0.95 bar rather than merely doing well. The arithmetic is in The Math below.

The Chart
This account -30.0%BTC held flat +5.5%
start

Logarithmic axis: equal ratios occupy equal height, so a doubling and a halving are the same distance. On a linear axis the recovery from a drawdown always looks smaller than the drawdown.

The MathOpen

Every figure below is computed from public Hyperliquid history. Nothing is adjusted by hand, and anything that could not be computed shows an em-dash rather than a substitute.

Skill against luck

Deflated Sharpe ratio
Bailey & López de Prado (2014). The probability this record beats the expected best of 44,013 zero-skill trials — because ranking 44,013 traders and keeping the top is running 44,013 trials. Passes at 0.95.
0.000
Probabilistic Sharpe ratio
The same test against a zero benchmark — i.e. before any correction for how many candidates were ranked. It is always the friendlier number, which is why leaderboards report its cousin and stop there.
0.006
Expected maximum Sharpe of the population
The bar luck clears. Per observation, across the whole scanned population.
0.663
Sharpe, per observation
The unit the tests above use. Annualising it and then testing against an observation count is the most common way this arithmetic is misreported.
-0.284
Sharpe, annualised
Shown for familiarity only. No decision on this page is made on it.
-10.84
Survives false-discovery control
Benjamini–Hochberg at 5% across everyone judged in this run. Answers a different question from the deflated Sharpe: of all the results we called significant, how many should we expect to be false?
No

Sample

Closed observations
The floor for a score is 30.
85
Days observed
90.0
Skew
Feeds the standard error above. A left-skewed record is punished, because rare large losses are what the Sharpe ratio hides.
0.192
Kurtosis
Full, not excess: 3.0 is normal. Fat tails widen the error bar and lower both probabilities above.
2.74

Risk carried

Maximum drawdown
Worst peak-to-trough decline of the equity curve above.
30.0%
Time under water
Share of observations spent below the previous high-water mark. A 20% drawdown recovered in a week and a 20% drawdown held for nine months are the same number and completely different propositions.
100%
Longest underwater run
85
Largest position, share of equity
How much one trade could hurt them.
53%
Position size dispersion
Coefficient of variation across trade sizes. A disciplined book has a modest maximum and a low dispersion; a martingale has a small median and a large maximum, which the median alone hides.
0.77

Alpha or beta

Correlation with BTC
At 0.80 and above, with no surviving deflated skill, the verdict is Beta only — holding spot would have done the same work.
0.74
Correlation with ETH
0.73
Sharpe in trending regimes
Observations where BTC's absolute move was at or above its own median.
-0.205
Sharpe in ranging regimes
The other half. A record that only works in one regime is a bet on that regime continuing.
-0.453
Positive observations
35%
Largest winner, share of all gains
The one-hit-wonder check. A record whose entire edge is a single fill is not a strategy.
9%

How the score was assembled

A published weighted sum. Each component is scaled to 0–1, multiplied by its weight, and the total mapped onto 1–100. A component that could not be computed is dropped and the remaining weights are renormalised — never filled with a flattering default.

Deflated Sharpe
×50%0.000= 0.0
Drawdown, inverted
×15%0.399= 5.9
Time above high-water mark
×15%0.000= 0.0
Independence from BTC
×10%0.259= 2.6
Consistency above a coin flip
×10%0.000= 0.0
The Trades85 most recent, closed
ClosedMarketSideEntryExitSizeReturnP&L
2026-08-31 15:51ZETHlong15,623.3314,846.22$12.5K-5.50%-$688
2026-08-30 14:27ZETHshort21.74423.265$9.7K-5.35%-$517
2026-08-29 13:02ZBTClong126.693126.370$5.3K-0.23%-$12
2026-08-28 11:37ZDOGEshort59,445.4266,465.56$5.7K-6.78%-$387
2026-08-27 10:12ZARBlong22,993.7721,130.79$16.5K-8.93%-$1.5K
2026-08-26 08:48ZTIAlong4,902.894,506.69$3.0K-5.01%-$151
2026-08-25 07:23ZDOGElong32.70030.159$5.7K-7.87%-$450
2026-08-24 05:58ZBTCshort30.67831.895$11.7K-4.48%-$524
2026-08-23 04:34ZLINKlong67,006.9663,514.71$7.7K-5.20%-$398
2026-08-22 03:09ZHYPElong424.565422.706$14.1K-0.40%-$56
2026-08-21 01:44ZSOLlong24,748.1220,420.30$7.2K-10.22%-$732
2026-08-20 00:20ZDOGEshort23.21621.508$4.2K+5.67%$240
2026-08-18 22:55ZARBshort971.495885.081$3.4K+5.48%$188
2026-08-17 21:30ZLINKlong61.23255.949$15.8K-8.50%-$1.3K
2026-08-16 20:05ZHYPElong1,108.031,231.03$3.1K+6.79%$212
2026-08-15 18:41ZDOGElong1,081.841,089.18$6.4K+0.54%$34
2026-08-14 17:16ZSOLshort575.705602.570$11.8K-3.04%-$358
2026-08-13 15:51ZTIAlong7,827.868,578.95$2.5K+5.53%$138
2026-08-12 14:27ZETHshort350.354341.480$2.9K+2.45%$70
2026-08-11 13:02ZSOLlong80,847.2972,524.99$15.3K-6.61%-$1.0K
2026-08-10 11:37ZLINKlong148.710160.064$17.3K+5.38%$930
2026-08-09 10:12ZETHlong28,772.8529,300.93$4.6K+1.93%$89
2026-08-08 08:48ZHYPEshort1,579.821,525.91$3.2K+2.68%$87
2026-08-07 07:23ZTIAlong105,562.7297,089.40$4.3K-4.67%-$203
2026-08-06 05:58ZSUIlong87.81086.296$13.6K-1.19%-$163
2026-08-05 04:34ZHYPElong81.60884.517$18.4K+2.50%$459
2026-08-04 03:09ZHYPEshort163,102.93172,074.47$7.7K-5.76%-$443
2026-08-03 01:44ZBTCshort13,322.5411,087.51$13.4K+10.74%$1.4K
2026-08-02 00:20ZHYPEshort17.11717.700$4.9K-2.11%-$103
2026-07-31 22:55ZARBlong1,050.951,085.83$2.1K+2.22%$47
2026-07-30 21:30ZSOLlong39,534.0437,402.77$2.4K-3.85%-$91
2026-07-29 20:05ZETHshort10,716.6911,457.75$11.8K-4.89%-$576
2026-07-28 18:41ZWIFshort62,500.0561,870.24$17.6K+1.24%$219
2026-07-27 17:16ZDOGElong25.40523.188$13.1K-11.42%-$1.5K
2026-07-26 15:51ZLINKlong2,561.072,942.49$7.3K+10.36%$761
2026-07-25 14:27ZETHshort4,812.894,430.82$7.5K+5.14%$387
2026-07-24 13:02ZSUIlong1,061.601,131.65$16.1K+6.57%$1.1K
2026-07-23 11:37ZLINKlong19.44419.460$7.3K+0.06%$5
2026-07-22 10:12ZSUIlong7,334.256,856.84$10.5K-8.55%-$899
2026-07-21 08:48ZDOGEshort16,529.5318,001.77$15.2K-8.52%-$1.3K
2026-07-20 07:23ZBTClong158,055.98160,147.95$17.2K+1.01%$173
2026-07-19 05:58ZSUIshort29.89433.179$15.6K-8.13%-$1.3K
2026-07-18 04:34ZWIFlong45,697.5540,811.44$19.0K-8.56%-$1.6K
2026-07-17 03:09ZHYPEshort14,994.3814,893.95$2.0K+0.67%$14
2026-07-16 01:44ZSOLlong57.88046.974$8.5K-13.36%-$1.1K
2026-07-15 00:20ZSUIshort32,686.3033,873.15$7.6K-3.49%-$264
2026-07-13 22:55ZDOGEshort45,194.4848,578.89$7.7K-5.07%-$389
2026-07-12 21:30ZTIAshort116.547135.932$16.9K-10.84%-$1.8K
2026-07-11 20:05ZARBlong201.533186.237$13.7K-5.67%-$776
2026-07-10 18:41ZLINKshort313.584279.576$5.4K+12.31%$668
2026-07-09 17:16ZBTClong87,198.7992,850.11$7.2K+3.72%$268
2026-07-08 15:51ZHYPEshort508.534520.027$3.7K-1.82%-$67
2026-07-07 14:27ZARBshort1,613.611,392.96$15.8K+8.99%$1.4K
2026-07-06 13:02ZHYPElong12,845.1311,797.88$17.0K-5.44%-$925
2026-07-05 11:37ZHYPElong67.48275.237$15.4K+8.35%$1.3K
2026-07-04 10:12ZETHlong119,996.98115,070.90$3.7K-2.92%-$108
2026-07-03 08:48ZTIAshort92.41692.528$3.6K-0.09%-$3
2026-07-02 07:23ZBTClong135,507.17127,901.43$15.5K-3.59%-$556
2026-07-01 05:58ZSUIshort167,445.54169,783.18$13.1K-1.30%-$170
2026-06-30 04:34ZARBlong1,075.581,104.82$3.6K+1.78%$63
2026-06-29 03:09ZBTCshort4,457.204,499.97$3.8K-0.71%-$27
2026-06-28 01:44ZSUIshort7,382.237,709.48$16.3K-4.87%-$791
2026-06-27 00:20ZSUIshort23,519.1727,178.13$10.3K-10.20%-$1.0K
2026-06-25 22:55ZSOLshort28,983.3328,930.58$17.6K+0.12%$21
2026-06-24 21:30ZTIAlong6,592.946,409.15$3.0K-2.59%-$78
2026-06-23 20:05ZETHlong4,554.023,759.48$13.9K-15.43%-$2.2K
2026-06-22 18:41ZSOLlong1,365.571,333.63$15.3K-2.13%-$326
2026-06-21 17:16ZBTCshort3,583.663,256.42$8.7K+5.64%$492
2026-06-20 15:51ZWIFlong15.35414.662$6.2K-3.22%-$200
2026-06-19 14:27ZTIAlong215.178223.886$12.2K+3.55%$434
2026-06-18 13:02ZSUIshort3,542.163,571.98$9.3K-0.50%-$46
2026-06-17 11:37ZTIAlong439.567426.223$10.7K-2.70%-$288
2026-06-16 10:12ZHYPElong3,302.542,806.24$4.4K-9.60%-$420
2026-06-15 08:48ZSUIlong193.179185.738$5.1K-2.66%-$136
2026-06-14 07:23ZETHshort3,771.133,868.55$4.0K-1.87%-$75
2026-06-13 05:58ZSOLlong8,081.588,086.03$4.7K+0.04%$2
2026-06-12 04:34ZLINKlong19.36419.135$13.4K-1.57%-$210
2026-06-11 03:09ZBTClong13,670.8215,583.10$3.1K+8.21%$257
2026-06-10 01:44ZARBlong1,530.401,466.10$5.6K-3.18%-$177
2026-06-09 00:20ZLINKshort38,364.1235,197.31$12.0K+6.03%$721
2026-06-07 22:55ZSUIlong16,044.1715,817.32$17.7K-1.83%-$324
2026-06-06 21:30ZSUIlong444.878429.471$6.0K-3.15%-$190
2026-06-05 20:05ZTIAlong2,523.482,515.90$19.9K-0.17%-$35
2026-06-04 18:41ZWIFlong17.40315.985$10.2K-6.88%-$701
2026-06-03 17:16ZSOLshort31.04031.969$6.3K-2.15%-$135
Execution

Scienter does not hold funds and does not trade for you. A routed order is placed with your own key, on your own approval, after a revalidation check at the moment you tap — if the position has closed, flipped, or been de-risked since the card was written, the tap is refused rather than filled.

Trade on HyperliquidStandard Hyperliquid fees. Scienter earns nothing on this link.
Route through Scienter with approvalNo routing fee. Nothing on unrouted reading.

This deployment has no execution bot configured, so the link opens setup rather than an order.

Judged against 44,013 scanned traders. Every figure is derived from public Hyperliquid history and is reproducible from it — the method is published in full, including the record of our own engine losing money.