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Hyperliquid trader
Demo data0x3320E0073220DE743520E32D3420e19a2F20d9Bb
First observed
2026-06-03
Closed observations
143
Volume, window
$6.39M
Account value
$396.2K
The Judgment
15/ 100
Losing moneyCumulative return over the measured window is negative. Skill statistics are reported below for completeness, not as mitigation.
- cumulative return -24.70% over the measured window
An absolute scale, not a rank. Half the weight is the deflated Sharpe, which almost nobody clears — so scores above roughly 55 require passing the 0.95 bar rather than merely doing well. The arithmetic is in The Math below.
This account -24.7%BTC held flat +6.7%
Logarithmic axis: equal ratios occupy equal height, so a doubling and a halving are the same distance. On a linear axis the recovery from a drawdown always looks smaller than the drawdown.
The MathOpenClose
Every figure below is computed from public Hyperliquid history. Nothing is adjusted by hand, and anything that could not be computed shows an em-dash rather than a substitute.
Skill against luck
Deflated Sharpe ratio
Bailey & López de Prado (2014). The probability this record beats the expected best of 44,013 zero-skill trials — because ranking 44,013 traders and keeping the top is running 44,013 trials. Passes at 0.95.
0.000
Probabilistic Sharpe ratio
The same test against a zero benchmark — i.e. before any correction for how many candidates were ranked. It is always the friendlier number, which is why leaderboards report its cousin and stop there.
0.072
Expected maximum Sharpe of the population
The bar luck clears. Per observation, across the whole scanned population.
0.663
Sharpe, per observation
The unit the tests above use. Annualising it and then testing against an observation count is the most common way this arithmetic is misreported.
-0.125
Sharpe, annualised
Shown for familiarity only. No decision on this page is made on it.
-4.79
Survives false-discovery control
Benjamini–Hochberg at 5% across everyone judged in this run. Answers a different question from the deflated Sharpe: of all the results we called significant, how many should we expect to be false?
No
Sample
Closed observations
The floor for a score is 30.
143
Days observed
90.0
Skew
Feeds the standard error above. A left-skewed record is punished, because rare large losses are what the Sharpe ratio hides.
0.307
Kurtosis
Full, not excess: 3.0 is normal. Fat tails widen the error bar and lower both probabilities above.
2.88
Risk carried
Maximum drawdown
Worst peak-to-trough decline of the equity curve above.
30.9%
Time under water
Share of observations spent below the previous high-water mark. A 20% drawdown recovered in a week and a 20% drawdown held for nine months are the same number and completely different propositions.
99%
Longest underwater run
142
Largest position, share of equity
How much one trade could hurt them.
15%
Position size dispersion
Coefficient of variation across trade sizes. A disciplined book has a modest maximum and a low dispersion; a martingale has a small median and a large maximum, which the median alone hides.
0.96
Alpha or beta
Correlation with BTC
At 0.80 and above, with no surviving deflated skill, the verdict is Beta only — holding spot would have done the same work.
0.19
Correlation with ETH
0.22
Sharpe in trending regimes
Observations where BTC's absolute move was at or above its own median.
-0.103
Sharpe in ranging regimes
The other half. A record that only works in one regime is a bet on that regime continuing.
-0.147
Positive observations
41%
Largest winner, share of all gains
The one-hit-wonder check. A record whose entire edge is a single fill is not a strategy.
5%
How the score was assembled
A published weighted sum. Each component is scaled to 0–1, multiplied by its weight, and the total mapped onto 1–100. A component that could not be computed is dropped and the remaining weights are renormalised — never filled with a flattering default.
Deflated Sharpe
×50%0.000= 0.0
Drawdown, inverted
×15%0.383= 5.7
Time above high-water mark
×15%0.007= 0.1
Independence from BTC
×10%0.811= 8.0
Consistency above a coin flip
×10%0.000= 0.0
| Closed | Market | Side | Entry | Exit | Size | Return | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 02:10Z | HYPE | short | 3,942.03 | 3,330.40 | $34.5K | +13.51% | $4.7K |
| 2026-08-31 11:03Z | SOL | long | 8,225.63 | 7,720.36 | $148.0K | -3.89% | -$5.8K |
| 2026-08-30 19:57Z | SOL | long | 793.676 | 779.991 | $197.7K | -1.62% | -$3.2K |
| 2026-08-30 04:51Z | HYPE | short | 3,142.20 | 3,085.21 | $165.2K | +1.67% | $2.8K |
| 2026-08-29 13:45Z | LINK | long | 36,864.20 | 38,723.09 | $126.1K | +3.73% | $4.7K |
| 2026-08-28 22:38Z | DOGE | short | 33,572.45 | 32,500.71 | $118.4K | +3.79% | $4.5K |
| 2026-08-28 07:32Z | LINK | long | 7,537.34 | 7,411.31 | $154.2K | -1.28% | -$2.0K |
| 2026-08-27 16:26Z | ETH | long | 1,572.18 | 1,689.24 | $62.1K | +7.83% | $4.9K |
| 2026-08-27 01:19Z | ARB | short | 10,593.26 | 9,810.10 | $68.0K | +6.98% | $4.7K |
| 2026-08-26 10:13Z | HYPE | long | 2,884.52 | 2,376.13 | $50.2K | -11.53% | -$5.8K |
| 2026-08-25 19:07Z | BTC | long | 13,368.90 | 13,656.17 | $34.7K | +1.36% | $471 |
| 2026-08-25 04:01Z | ETH | short | 70.847 | 78.211 | $146.5K | -8.55% | -$12.5K |
| 2026-08-24 12:54Z | SOL | long | 10,104.32 | 9,461.18 | $115.1K | -4.36% | -$5.0K |
| 2026-08-23 21:48Z | BTC | short | 22,093.63 | 22,066.14 | $145.5K | +0.08% | $112 |
| 2026-08-23 06:42Z | ETH | short | 2,234.46 | 1,967.74 | $148.7K | +11.47% | $17.1K |
| 2026-08-22 15:35Z | SUI | long | 23,728.07 | 22,999.24 | $53.4K | -1.96% | -$1.0K |
| 2026-08-22 00:29Z | ARB | long | 1,934.19 | 1,770.66 | $66.2K | -6.10% | -$4.0K |
| 2026-08-21 09:23Z | LINK | short | 282.410 | 298.745 | $44.6K | -3.94% | -$1.8K |
| 2026-08-20 18:16Z | DOGE | long | 208.308 | 162.035 | $137.6K | -13.82% | -$19.0K |
| 2026-08-20 03:10Z | LINK | long | 5,314.47 | 5,477.50 | $26.7K | +2.14% | $571 |
| 2026-08-19 12:04Z | BTC | short | 86.865 | 85.944 | $189.2K | +0.62% | $1.2K |
| 2026-08-18 20:58Z | SOL | long | 47.440 | 47.046 | $105.0K | -0.49% | -$514 |
| 2026-08-18 05:51Z | SOL | short | 831.748 | 784.617 | $50.9K | +3.52% | $1.8K |
| 2026-08-17 14:45Z | SUI | long | 135.888 | 128.009 | $137.5K | -4.84% | -$6.7K |
| 2026-08-16 23:39Z | SUI | long | 231.354 | 223.799 | $141.9K | -2.24% | -$3.2K |
| 2026-08-16 08:32Z | SUI | short | 1,191.84 | 1,064.46 | $130.9K | +6.73% | $8.8K |
| 2026-08-15 17:26Z | ARB | long | 8,031.33 | 8,001.07 | $30.0K | -0.38% | -$115 |
| 2026-08-15 02:20Z | ETH | short | 225.484 | 216.031 | $43.7K | +4.17% | $1.8K |
| 2026-08-14 11:14Z | SUI | long | 454.033 | 417.102 | $183.6K | -9.66% | -$17.7K |
| 2026-08-13 20:07Z | ARB | long | 2,250.30 | 2,066.23 | $151.5K | -10.36% | -$15.7K |
| 2026-08-13 05:01Z | HYPE | short | 1,521.36 | 1,383.65 | $70.9K | +6.90% | $4.9K |
| 2026-08-12 13:55Z | ETH | long | 281.267 | 264.107 | $49.6K | -5.35% | -$2.7K |
| 2026-08-11 22:48Z | SUI | long | 24.994 | 24.877 | $69.2K | -0.33% | -$231 |
| 2026-08-11 07:42Z | ETH | short | 123.756 | 117.355 | $184.7K | +6.68% | $12.3K |
| 2026-08-10 16:36Z | HYPE | short | 1,780.32 | 1,457.86 | $190.7K | +11.27% | $21.5K |
| 2026-08-10 01:29Z | WIF | short | 2,272.98 | 2,522.96 | $87.6K | -12.72% | -$11.1K |
| 2026-08-09 10:23Z | DOGE | long | 7,003.82 | 6,763.87 | $33.5K | -3.71% | -$1.2K |
| 2026-08-08 19:17Z | HYPE | long | 13.954 | 12.607 | $110.2K | -6.56% | -$7.2K |
| 2026-08-08 04:11Z | TIA | short | 24,587.75 | 26,057.60 | $62.1K | -6.42% | -$4.0K |
| 2026-08-07 13:04Z | WIF | long | 57,866.31 | 61,052.24 | $96.9K | +4.61% | $4.5K |
| 2026-08-06 21:58Z | SUI | long | 35.713 | 31.636 | $43.0K | -10.18% | -$4.4K |
| 2026-08-06 06:52Z | SUI | long | 579.347 | 552.984 | $144.7K | -3.59% | -$5.2K |
| 2026-08-05 15:45Z | BTC | long | 254.695 | 262.654 | $83.2K | +3.07% | $2.6K |
| 2026-08-05 00:39Z | ETH | long | 72.531 | 66.653 | $106.4K | -6.25% | -$6.6K |
| 2026-08-04 09:33Z | ETH | short | 964.376 | 1,011.06 | $19.8K | -6.06% | -$1.2K |
| 2026-08-03 18:27Z | TIA | long | 149,981.77 | 138,173.04 | $175.5K | -4.74% | -$8.3K |
| 2026-08-03 03:20Z | DOGE | short | 19,465.41 | 18,465.50 | $42.5K | +4.40% | $1.9K |
| 2026-08-02 12:14Z | BTC | short | 1,391.44 | 1,344.07 | $157.6K | +3.89% | $6.1K |
| 2026-08-01 21:08Z | SOL | long | 50,336.09 | 47,533.21 | $48.4K | -4.42% | -$2.1K |
| 2026-08-01 06:01Z | DOGE | long | 32.410 | 29.832 | $161.1K | -4.66% | -$7.5K |
| 2026-07-31 14:55Z | DOGE | long | 40.885 | 38.526 | $156.9K | -4.14% | -$6.5K |
| 2026-07-30 23:49Z | ARB | long | 60.804 | 74.405 | $140.6K | +15.30% | $21.5K |
| 2026-07-30 08:42Z | DOGE | long | 81,968.92 | 78,252.89 | $149.4K | -2.80% | -$4.2K |
| 2026-07-29 17:36Z | DOGE | long | 2,498.02 | 2,425.95 | $181.5K | -1.98% | -$3.6K |
| 2026-07-29 02:30Z | ARB | short | 33,178.99 | 32,304.16 | $122.0K | +2.99% | $3.6K |
| 2026-07-28 11:24Z | LINK | short | 23,060.22 | 18,978.41 | $126.8K | +11.23% | $14.2K |
| 2026-07-27 20:17Z | ARB | long | 16,868.98 | 18,203.61 | $46.2K | +6.96% | $3.2K |
| 2026-07-27 05:11Z | HYPE | long | 145.107 | 138.341 | $51.7K | -3.55% | -$1.8K |
| 2026-07-26 14:05Z | HYPE | short | 9,927.65 | 10,468.06 | $24.5K | -4.11% | -$1.0K |
| 2026-07-25 22:58Z | LINK | long | 25,726.88 | 26,675.40 | $46.4K | +2.33% | $1.1K |
| 2026-07-25 07:52Z | HYPE | long | 133.604 | 119.249 | $29.6K | -7.58% | -$2.2K |
| 2026-07-24 16:46Z | LINK | long | 668.861 | 644.691 | $162.8K | -2.39% | -$3.9K |
| 2026-07-24 01:40Z | ETH | long | 2,474.75 | 2,234.44 | $96.6K | -7.92% | -$7.7K |
| 2026-07-23 10:33Z | HYPE | short | 193.384 | 205.929 | $112.2K | -6.27% | -$7.0K |
| 2026-07-22 19:27Z | WIF | long | 38.752 | 38.562 | $139.4K | -0.41% | -$570 |
| 2026-07-22 04:21Z | HYPE | long | 25,965.24 | 27,521.38 | $94.9K | +3.56% | $3.4K |
| 2026-07-21 13:14Z | SUI | short | 163,356.13 | 150,750.59 | $194.9K | +8.70% | $17.0K |
| 2026-07-20 22:08Z | LINK | short | 92.167 | 99.513 | $33.6K | -8.43% | -$2.8K |
| 2026-07-20 07:02Z | ARB | long | 63.642 | 61.746 | $86.8K | -3.12% | -$2.7K |
| 2026-07-19 15:56Z | SUI | long | 39,947.17 | 39,857.58 | $59.0K | -0.18% | -$108 |
| 2026-07-19 00:49Z | HYPE | long | 45.820 | 46.007 | $67.5K | +0.33% | $226 |
| 2026-07-18 09:43Z | TIA | short | 7,250.47 | 7,901.19 | $89.4K | -9.16% | -$8.2K |
| 2026-07-17 18:37Z | HYPE | short | 992.315 | 1,072.72 | $120.4K | -6.10% | -$7.3K |
| 2026-07-17 03:30Z | DOGE | short | 261.496 | 244.771 | $55.3K | +5.24% | $2.9K |
| 2026-07-16 12:24Z | TIA | short | 27,320.83 | 30,621.48 | $135.6K | -7.88% | -$10.7K |
| 2026-07-15 21:18Z | BTC | long | 924.911 | 895.123 | $164.5K | -3.49% | -$5.7K |
| 2026-07-15 06:11Z | WIF | short | 155.601 | 133.691 | $192.1K | +8.27% | $15.9K |
| 2026-07-14 15:05Z | HYPE | short | 74.623 | 76.970 | $163.8K | -3.63% | -$5.9K |
| 2026-07-13 23:59Z | WIF | long | 5,759.39 | 5,616.00 | $58.0K | -1.44% | -$833 |
| 2026-07-13 08:53Z | SUI | long | 12,121.03 | 11,988.78 | $145.1K | -0.81% | -$1.2K |
| 2026-07-12 17:46Z | SUI | long | 4,628.71 | 5,288.06 | $188.3K | +12.06% | $22.7K |
| 2026-07-12 02:40Z | ETH | long | 7,515.70 | 6,687.52 | $73.4K | -7.64% | -$5.6K |
| 2026-07-11 11:34Z | HYPE | short | 480.032 | 511.021 | $139.3K | -5.55% | -$7.7K |
| 2026-07-10 20:27Z | SUI | long | 4,832.69 | 4,822.32 | $98.0K | -0.28% | -$277 |
| 2026-07-10 05:21Z | HYPE | long | 35.955 | 37.079 | $177.9K | +3.01% | $5.3K |
| 2026-07-09 14:15Z | HYPE | long | 1,285.62 | 1,327.81 | $71.0K | +2.83% | $2.0K |
| 2026-07-08 23:09Z | TIA | short | 158.166 | 146.343 | $155.3K | +7.37% | $11.4K |
| 2026-07-08 08:02Z | BTC | short | 24,456.43 | 24,772.29 | $195.6K | -1.67% | -$3.3K |
| 2026-07-07 16:56Z | BTC | short | 932.130 | 955.203 | $84.5K | -1.50% | -$1.3K |
| 2026-07-07 01:50Z | LINK | long | 576.611 | 576.671 | $151.7K | +0.01% | $13 |
| 2026-07-06 10:43Z | WIF | long | 14,144.94 | 13,859.23 | $74.1K | -1.90% | -$1.4K |
| 2026-07-05 19:37Z | SUI | long | 41.713 | 43.037 | $173.0K | +2.54% | $4.4K |
| 2026-07-05 04:31Z | HYPE | short | 4,686.87 | 4,799.16 | $193.1K | -2.66% | -$5.1K |
| 2026-07-04 13:24Z | WIF | long | 143.904 | 131.017 | $130.9K | -9.89% | -$13.0K |
| 2026-07-03 22:18Z | LINK | short | 75.755 | 75.716 | $147.7K | +0.05% | $74 |
| 2026-07-03 07:12Z | SOL | long | 38.125 | 38.397 | $137.7K | +0.49% | $674 |
| 2026-07-02 16:06Z | ETH | short | 277.652 | 294.217 | $181.7K | -7.01% | -$12.7K |
| 2026-07-02 00:59Z | HYPE | long | 19.854 | 19.103 | $172.9K | -2.97% | -$5.1K |
| 2026-07-01 09:53Z | HYPE | long | 139.282 | 139.217 | $184.8K | -0.03% | -$52 |
| 2026-06-30 18:47Z | SOL | short | 26,333.48 | 23,575.22 | $154.7K | +6.13% | $9.5K |
Execution
Scienter does not hold funds and does not trade for you. A routed order is placed with your own key, on your own approval, after a revalidation check at the moment you tap — if the position has closed, flipped, or been de-risked since the card was written, the tap is refused rather than filled.
Trade on HyperliquidStandard Hyperliquid fees. Scienter earns nothing on this link.
Route through Scienter with approvalNo routing fee. Nothing on unrouted reading.
This deployment has no execution bot configured, so the link opens setup rather than an order.