BTC

Verify this yourself

1. 1

   Take the canonical payload below and hash it. It must equal the call hash — this is what fixes the claim to these exact fields.

   Canonical payload{"callHash":"0xce64f1d116b3fbbc728ad92c3a5edbd098496716dc574f0e91591cae71c929e7","emitter":"scienter.funding-skew","asset":"BTC","side":"short","claimedAt":1786915671,"horizonSeconds":28800}
2. 2

   Fold the call hash with each sibling in order. The result must equal the batch root the ledger published.

   Call hash0xce64f1d116b3fbbc728ad92c3a5edbd098496716dc574f0e91591cae71c929e7

   Sibling 00x9e3779b1aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

   Sibling 10x13c6ef362aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

   Sibling 20x1daa66d13aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

   Sibling 30x278dde6c4aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

   Batch root0xf34af74655226cb8caadaab088daaed8aa1a59707692efe261e207700014413d

   This batch contains 64 calls; 4 siblings is the expected depth.

3. 3

   Read the root out of the Base transaction and compare timestamps. The block must predate the settlement — that is the entire claim.

   Commit tx 0xf736…8f54Settlement tx 0xd26d…fcd8

What this proves: the call existed, unmodified, before the outcome did. What it does not prove: that the call was good. That is what the backtest and the aggregate on the ledger index are for — and they include the losses.

Outcome

Called short on BTC at 63,967.33. At the 8h horizon the hyperliquid-mid was 63,623.83, which is +54 bps signed to the direction of the call.